Drone attack on Russia by NATO-assisted Ukraine re-ignites possibility of Third World War

Ukraine’s drone blitz deep into Russia on 1 June marks a turning point in modern warfare. This piece unpacks the technology, tactics, and causes, as well as the global risks, in the section on possible consequences.

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The Squirrels Bureau
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On 1 June, Ukraine rewrote the rules of modern warfare. In a daring overnight operation, swarms of AI-powered drones launched a devastating assault deep inside Russian territory — without a single Ukrainian aircraft crossing the border. The strike targeted Russia’s long-range bombers, some of which had been used to bombard Ukrainian cities for over two years.

But this wasn’t a standard drone strike. Ukrainian forces hid the drones in trucks disguised as ordinary shipping containers — modern-day Trojan Horses. Once inside Russia, the containers opened, unleashing dozens of autonomous drones programmed to seek and destroy high-value targets. Within hours, 40 strategic bombers were destroyed or severely damaged, including Tu-95s and Tu-22M3s, dealing a multibillion-dollar blow to Moscow’s air power.

And the kicker? The containers self-destructed after the attack, leaving little evidence behind.

History repeats itself — with high-tech twist

Ukraine’s deep strike bears a striking resemblance to Israel’s legendary Operation Focus in 1967, when Israeli jets crippled Egypt’s air force in just a few hours. Like Israel, Ukraine today has shown that intelligence, stealth, and precision can outweigh sheer military mass.

This isn’t the first time modern warfare has favoured ingenuity. Israel’s recent pager-triggered explosions against Hezbollah also highlighted the growing dominance of asymmetric tactics. Ukraine’s operation joins a legacy of bold, brain-first warfare, where surprise and strategy trump brute force.

Long shadow of NATO: Why Russia is wary of West

To understand why this strike could trigger dangerous escalation, it’s important to trace the roots of the Russia-Ukraine war. Since the fall of the Soviet Union, NATO has steadily expanded eastward. For the Kremlin, Ukraine potentially joining NATO represented a nightmare scenario — Western weapons stationed just miles from Russian soil.

In 2022, Vladimir Putin framed the full-scale invasion of Ukraine as a pre-emptive defence against this encroachment. Beyond geopolitics, the conflict is steeped in cultural divides. Western media often portrays Ukraine as part of “us” — European, liberal, democratic — while casting Russia as the aggressive “other”. This narrative has only hardened since 2022, with Russian outlets like RT and Sputnik banned across much of the West, further fuelling perceptions of censorship and bias.

The biggest Russian air loss since WWII

The scale of the 1 June drone strike is staggering. Analysts are calling it the largest single-day loss of Russian aircraft since Nazi Germany’s Operation Barbarossa in 1941. Up to one-third of Russia’s bomber fleet is now out of action.

Each Tu-95 bomber costs around $150 million. The newer Tu-160 “Blackjack” models run closer to $250 million apiece. Altogether, the operation may have inflicted over $5 billion in damages. Reports suggest the drones were assembled within Russia itself — possibly in Chelyabinsk — meaning Ukraine may have launched the strike from inside enemy territory. If confirmed, it’s an intelligence coup as much as a military one.

Is this the future of warfare?

Military experts are already calling this the world’s first “full-scale drone war”. These weren’t remote-controlled attacks; they were AI-guided drones making real-time decisions on the fly. Unlike the early American drone campaigns in Iraq or Pakistan, Ukraine’s drones operated autonomously and with surgical precision.

The success of this operation signals a seismic shift. Smaller nations can now strike major powers without traditional air forces. The low cost, minimal risk, and high impact of such drones raise an unsettling question: can civil aviation and global infrastructure withstand the threat of cheap, programmable weapons?

Escalation by drone attack may lead to Third World War

Ukraine’s drone strike wasn’t just a military success — it was a warning shot across the bow of traditional warfare. It showed what’s now possible when ingenuity meets desperation. But with its success comes risk. Will Russia escalate? Will NATO get dragged in? And what does this mean for future conflicts?

For now, one thing is certain: 1 June 2025 will be remembered as the day war changed.

With Russian bombers destroyed and airbases burning, the world now watches for Moscow’s response. Scenarios range from conventional missile retaliation against Ukrainian cities to cyber or energy grid attacks across Europe. Some fear that, if cornered, Russia might contemplate nuclear escalation.

So far, NATO has walked a tightrope, supplying Ukraine without provoking direct conflict with Russia. But this bold strike could change the equation. If Russia lashes out beyond Ukraine’s borders — or if nuclear sabre-rattling intensifies — the risk of a wider conflict becomes alarmingly real.

The possibility of a devastating, literally far-reaching Russian retaliation is high, as Russia will consider this NATO's doing, beyond the capabilities of Ukraine. This means an attack on other countries of Europe, if not an attack on the United States, the leader of NATO, as well. That, in turn, means the Third World War.

NATO Ukraine Russia United States